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June 6th, 2014

“Twenty years from now, labor demand for lots of skill sets will be substantially…

By Ron Nakamoto

“Twenty years from now, labor demand for lots of skill sets will be substantially lower. I don’t think people have that in their mental model” – Bill Gates

The article below by Geoff Colvin provides a sobering perspective on the inexorable advance of technology.  Colvin argues that we’re in the midst of the 4th great turning point in technology and that what will remain in demand will be “uniquely human judgment”.

“Consider the skills in highest demand over the next five to 10 years as specified by employers in a recent survey by Towers Watson and Oxford Economics. Those skills didn’t include business acumen, analysis, or P&L management. Instead, relationship building, teaming, co-creativity, cultural sensitivity, and managing diverse employees were all near the top.”

It occurs to me that “uniquely human judgment” will also be essential to the sustainability of vibrant, diverse families, clans, and “tribes”.  How will we empower others and lead?  Much of our work aspires to answer this question.

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In the future, will there be any work left for people to do?
Driverless cars are safer than human-driven ones. Computers can predict Supreme Court decisions better than legal scholars. What’s next?

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